Philip Tetlock

菲利普·泰特洛克

Lifespan
1954–
Nationality
American
Role
Psychologist and university professor
Books
1

Biography

American psychologist and Wharton professor at the University of Pennsylvania who studies political judgement and forecasting. Superforecasting draws on large-scale forecasting tournaments to study what makes predictions accurate.

Central Ideas

  • Research on forecasting and judgement
  • Traits of superforecasters
  • Fox-like versus hedgehog-like thinking

Books

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